ISET-PI has updated its real GDP growth forecast for the fourth quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024. Here are the highlights of this month’s release:
Geostat has released its rapid estimate of real GDP growth for October 2023. The estimated growth stands at 6.2%, while the average real GDP growth for January- October 2023 reached 6.9%.
In November, Geostat revised its rapid estimate of economic growth for the first two quarters of 2023. The growth rate for Q1 was adjusted upward from 7.7% to 8.0%, and for Q2, it changed from 7.5% to 7.8%. The GDP growth for Q3 remained unchanged initially but was later increased to 5.7% by the end of December. However, the later adjustment is not yet reflected in the forecast model/report for December.
ISET-PI predicted 6.2% and 2.7% growth for the fourth quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024, respectively.
Based on October data, the annual growth in 2023 is expected to be 7.3%.
20
November
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on September’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 6.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025 and 5.2% in the first quarter of 2026. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.6%.
20
October
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on August’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
22
September
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on July’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
20
August
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on June’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the forth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
20
July
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on May’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 8.2% in the second quarter and 6.5% in the third quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 6% in the worst-case scenario and 7.6% in the best-case or an average long-term growth scenario.
