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Indexes

December 2024 | Georgia’s economic growth powered by trade and credit, amid political challenges
20 December 2024

ISET Policy Institute has updated its real GDP growth forecast for the fourth quarter of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025. Here are the highlights of this month’s release:

Geostat has published its preliminary estimate of real GDP growth for October 2024, which stands at 11%. In addition, the estimated growth for the first, second, and third quarters of 2024 reached 8.7%, 9.7%, and 11%, respectively. Consequently, the average real GDP growth from January to October 2024 reached 10%.

ISET-PI forecasts Georgia's economy to grow by 8.7% in the fourth quarter of 2024 and 9.4% in the first quarter of 2025. Nevertheless, recent developments, including the severe political crisis in Georgia, are not yet reflected in the available data. As a result, the growth forecast for the first quarter of 2025 is likely to be overestimated. 

Based on October data, the annual growth for 2024 is projected to be 8.9%.

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