ISET Policy Institute has updated its real GDP growth forecast for the fourth quarter of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025. Here are the highlights of this month’s release:
Geostat has published its preliminary estimate of real GDP growth for October 2024, which stands at 11%. In addition, the estimated growth for the first, second, and third quarters of 2024 reached 8.7%, 9.7%, and 11%, respectively. Consequently, the average real GDP growth from January to October 2024 reached 10%.
ISET-PI forecasts Georgia's economy to grow by 8.7% in the fourth quarter of 2024 and 9.4% in the first quarter of 2025. Nevertheless, recent developments, including the severe political crisis in Georgia, are not yet reflected in the available data. As a result, the growth forecast for the first quarter of 2025 is likely to be overestimated.
Based on October data, the annual growth for 2024 is projected to be 8.9%.