updated its real GDP growth forecast for the fourth quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024. Here are the highlights of this month’s release:
Geostat has released its rapid estimate of real GDP growth for September 2023. The estimated growth stands at 5.1%, while the average real GDP growth for January-September 2023 reached 6.8%.
ISET-PI predicted 6.2% and 2.7% growth for the fourth quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024, respectively.
Based on September data, the annual growth in 2023 is expected to be 7.1%.
In addition, the National Bank of Georgia expects a 6% real GDP growth in 2023. According to the Monetary Policy Report, among the reasons behind the prediction are large foreign inflows, that continue to make a substantial contribution to economic activity (e.g., domestic spending and service exports), as well as production factors’ rising productivity along with improved investments.