Indexes
October 2014 GDP Forecast | Predicted growth rates continue to fall
11
October
2014
ISET-PI has updated its forecasts for Georgia’s real GDP growth rates using August 2014 releases of various economic indicators.
Based on the data from August, the fifth update of the Q3 growth forecast was yet again revised downward from 3.7% to 2.2%.
The second update of the growth forecast for the last quarter of 2014 was also revised from 1.7% down to 0.4%.
Meanwhile, Geostat has released the “rapid estimates” of monthly growth rate for August 2014. The August estimate is still a hefty 5.2%, although this data is preliminary and is set to be further revised in the future.
At the beginning of 2014, we started to forecast the annual growth rate for 2014 (see our January and February publications for a note on the methodology). Based on the forecasts available for each quarter, we predict that GDP growth in Georgia in 2014 will be 3.5%. This forecast represents a downgrade from our earlier prediction of 4.3% annual growth. The downward revision carries through, even if we use a slightly different methodology to forecast annual growth.
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January 2026 | Georgia’s growth momentum Under tight monetary conditions: GDP Forecast update, January 2026
20
January
2026
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on September’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 6.6% in the fourth quarter of 2025 and 5.2% in the first quarter of 2026. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.6%.
December 2025 | Georgia’s economy in 2025: robust growth, inflation pressures, and external risks
22
December
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on September’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 6.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025 and 5.2% in the first quarter of 2026. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.6%.
November 2025 | Trade Gains, rising dollarization, and firm domestic demand shape Georgia’s near-term growth
20
November
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on September’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 6.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025 and 5.2% in the first quarter of 2026. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.6%.
October 2025 | Georgia’s 2025 economic outlook: balancing strong domestic growth with external headwinds
20
October
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on August’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
September 2025 | September 2025 outlook: Georgia’s GDP growth anchored by domestic demand and monetary caution
22
September
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on July’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
