February 2014 GDP Forecast | Leading GDP indicator for Georgia
11 February 2014

ISET-PI has updated its now-casting model for Georgia’s real GDP growth using the December 2013 releases of various economic indicators.

The growth forecast for the 4th quarter of 2013 is unchanged at 4.9%, suggesting annual growth of 2.6%, while Geostat’s flash estimates are 6.9% for 2013Q4 and 3.1% for the whole year.

The growth forecast for the 1st quarter of 2014 is broadly unchanged (revised downward slightly from 5.7% to 5.6%). Thus, we expect the annual growth rate in 2014 to be at least 3.4% and more likely around 5.6%.