Indexes
June 2023 | CCI: Improvement in consumer sentiment
12
October
2023
Rise in CCI. The Consumer Confidence Index experienced an increase of 3.4 index points – from -24.1 in May to -20.7 in June. This is the highest mark the CCI has reached since the pandemic struck in March 2020. The month-on-month (MoM) positive shift was mostly driven by an increase in consumer expectations about the future economic situation. Notably, the Expectations Index rose by 5.9 index points, while the Present Situation Index increased by 1 index point.
In May, there was a decline in consumers’ assessment of their current and expected personal financial situations, and this never reversed in June. Rather, the MoM increase derived from heightened sentiment towards future inflation and unemployment levels among the interviewed population; those expectations already having been on a rise since May. Although high price levels have been sustained over recent years, the majority of interviewed respondents do not expect these levels to experience a further increase – where 40% of respondents believe that prices will rise at a slower pace, whereas 39% state that prices will remain the same or decline.
As for expectations about unemployment, consumers appear to feel relatively stable on that front. Specifically, almost half of the respondents think that current unemployment levels will remain unchanged, while 35% expect the unemployment level to decrease.
In spite of positive monthly changes in the CCI, the overall value of the index is negative, signaling low level of consumer confidence in Georgia.
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October 2024 | CCI deteriorating
10
November
2024
A notable fall in CCI. The decreasing trend has continued after the summer, with the CCI dropping even further in October – from -19.5 in September to -24.9 in October (a 5.4 index point decrease). Both sub-indices contributed to this decline, where the Present Situation Index fell by 6.7 index points and the Expectations Index by 4.2 points.
September 2024 | Decrease in CCI
20
October
2024
A slowed rebound. The CCI fluctuated over the summer, reaching its highest value for the period in August before a decline in September. After the Index had recovered in June, the CCI experienced a slight downturn in July, from -16.7 index points to -18.5, reaching -15.4 points in August and falling to -19.5 in September.
June 2024 | Quick recovery of CCI
29
July
2024
Certain factors negatively influencing consumer sentiment in May failed to have a lasting effect. In June, consumers’ ability to save showed significant improvements, with those able to save a proportion of their income increasing from 2% to 25%.
May 2024 | A notable drop in CCI
08
July
2024
A sharp decrease in CCI. The declining trend that started in April continued in May, with the Consumer Confidence Index dropping by 9.5 index points – from -17.8 in April to -27.3 points in May. The decline was present in both CCI sub-indices, however, it was more prominent in the Present Situation Index. Namely, the Expectations Index declined by 5.5 index points, while the Present Situation Index decreased by 13.4 points.
April 2024 | The CCI is falling
01
May
2024
Decline in the CCI. After the Consumer Confidence Index rose in March, the trend once again reversed in April – with the CCI declining by 4 index points, from -13.8 in March to -17.8 in April. Both the Present Situation and the Expectations Index each decreased, however, the decline was more prominent for people’s expectations; the Present Situation Index decreased by 1.6 points, while the Expectations Index fell by 6.4 points.
