A notable fall in CCI. The decreasing trend has continued after the summer, with the CCI dropping even further in October – from -19.5 in September to -24.9 in October (a 5.4 index point decrease). Both sub-indices contributed to this decline, where the Present Situation Index fell by 6.7 index points and the Expectations Index by 4.2 points.
The sharpest decline was seen in people’s expectations regarding their ability to make saving within the upcoming year. The share of respondents that believe it is unlikely they will be able to save some money increased from 55% to 74%. At the same time, the share of respondents who consider it more likely to make savings decreased from 26% to 22%. It is equally worth noting that the share of respondents that do not know how their financial position will change within the upcoming year rose from 36% to 41%. This could relate to political instability and high polarization in Georgia during the election period.
Furthermore, people consider the current period less worthwhile for saving than in September. In September, 62% of respondents considered it a fairly good period for making savings, while in October this share fell to 53%. Contrarily, the share of respondents claiming it is a poor moment to save increased from 30% to 43%.
Tbilisi vs. the regions. The decline was shared throughout Georgia, with the CCI decreasing for residents of the capital by 4.6 index point and by 5.3 points in the regions.
BAR CHARTS: Consumer Responses by Questions |
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Note: Starting in July, the CCI underwent minor shifts in methodology. Specifically, the questionnaire was slightly modified, in terms of how questions were formulated when conducting a survey.