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Indexes

Business Confidence Index
ISET Policy Institute, working in partnership with BIA (Business Information Agency) and International Chamber of Commerce in Georgia (ICC), started to implement the Business Confidence Survey from December 2013 and will publish the Business Confidence Index (BCI) on quarterly bases. Business confid
ence for Georgia is measured by seven sector-specific indices focusing on services, retail trade, agriculture, manufacturing industry, financial service, construction and other sectors. For each sector, confidence is measured through a simple survey instrument targeted at top business executives.
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Business Confidence Index: Momentous Rebound of Business Optimism
27 July 2020

For the third quarter of 2020, BCI increased by 17.3 index points and reached -9.9 after a significant deterioration in the previous quarter. Business confidence improved across all sectors, except manufacturing and service. The largest increase is observed in the construction sector. The positive change in BCI, for Q3 2020, is driven by significantly optimistic future expectations.

Business Confidence Index: Businesses in the Lockdown
21 April 2020

In the second quarter of 2020, BCI decreased by 53.0 index points reaching an all-time low of -27.2 points. Business confidence deteriorated significantly across all sectors. The largest decline was observed in retail trade, followed by the service industry. The decrease in BCI was driven by worsened past performance as well as drastically pessimistic future expectations.

Business Confidence Index: Signs of Optimism Coming from Agriculture and Manufacturing Industries
24 February 2020

In the first quarter of 2020, BCI increased by 7.3 index points reaching 25.8. Business confidence improved across all sectors with the exception of the service industry. The largest growth was observed in agriculture, followed by the manufacturing industry. In both sectors, the increase in BCI was driven by improved past performance as well as more optimistic future expectations.

Business Confidence Index: The Retail Trade Sector Optimistic for the Holiday Season
16 December 2019

BCI in the fourth quarter of 2019 has increased to 18.5 index points, which is 10.2 index points above the previous quarter. The largest increase in BCI was observed in retail trade, followed by the construction industry. In these sectors, the increase in BCI is driven by both increases in past performance and in raised expectations. On the contrary, agriculture is the one industry where BCI decreased.

Business Confidence Index: Summertime Sadness!
27 August 2019

BCI in the third quarter of 2019 has deteriorated, dropping to 8.3 index points, which is 18.7 index points below the previous quarter. The largest reduction in BCI was observed in retail trade followed by the financial and construction industries. In these sectors, the decrease in BCI is driven by both decline in past performance and reduced expectations. On the contrary, agriculture is the sole industry where BCI increased.

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