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Business Confidence Index
ISET Policy Institute, working in partnership with BIA (Business Information Agency) and International Chamber of Commerce in Georgia (ICC), started to implement the Business Confidence Survey from December 2013 and will publish the Business Confidence Index (BCI) on quarterly bases. Business confid
ence for Georgia is measured by seven sector-specific indices focusing on services, retail trade, agriculture, manufacturing industry, financial service, construction and other sectors. For each sector, confidence is measured through a simple survey instrument targeted at top business executives.
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Business Confidence Index: Financial and Construction Sectors out of Spring Vibes!
06 May 2019

BCI in the second quarter of 2019 has improved, reaching 27.0 index points, which is 4.4 index points higher than the previous quarter. The highest growth in BCI was observed in retail trade and manufacturing. In the case of retail trade, this advancement in BCI is mostly due to good past performance, while in manufacturing the driver is positive expectations.

Business Confidence Index: Persistent Pessimism!
04 February 2019

BCI in the first quarter of 2019 has worsened, dropping to 22.6 index points, which is a 7.4 index point loss over the previous quarter. The BCI drop is driven by worsening in the past performance and expectations in a number of the business sectors. Interestingly, companies in the construction industry assessed their past performance most pessimistically, however they display the most optimistic expectations. While the private sector expectations tend to worsen, they continue to remain positive.

Business Confidence Index: Winter Is Coming!
13 November 2018

BCI in the fourth quarter of 2018 has worsened, dropping to 29.9 index points, which is a 5.5 index point loss over the previous quarter. The BCI drop is based on the worsening of past performance and expectations in many business sectors. Compared to other sectors, manufacturing and agriculture assessed their past performance and expectations the most pessimistically. In contrast, the retail trade sector is the most positive.

Business Confidence Index: Fruitful Summer for Georgian Agriculture!
10 September 2018

After three consecutive quarters of improvement, BCI in the third quarter of 2018 has worsened, dropping to 35.4 index points, which is a 4.2 index point loss over the previous quarter. The BCI drop is based on lowering expectations and worsening of past performance in many business sectors. Compared to other sectors, manufacturing assessed their past performance and expectations the most pessimistically. In contrast, the agriculture sector is the most positive, reflecting a high season in production.

Business Confidence Index: Manufacture in Georgia!
08 May 2018

BCI in the second quarter of 2018 has improved, reaching 39.6 index points, which is an 8.3 index point gain over the previous quarter. The improvement in Business Confidence is in line with the overall positive country performance (Geostat estimated 5.2% GDP growth in Q1 2018). The BCI increase is based on very high expectations and profitable past performance in almost all business sectors. Compared to other sectors, manufacturing assessed their past performance and expectations the most positively. In contrast, the agriculture sector is the most pessimistic, reflecting a low season in production.

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