Indexes
Business Confidence Index: self fulfilling expectations in action? – Q2 2016
15
June
2016
The Georgian Business Confidence Index (BCI) continues to improve. Unlike last quarter, the second-quarter increase in the index was mostly driven by a significant improvement in performance rather than in business expectations, which kept rising albeit at a marginal pace.
Overall, the BCI gained 10 points (on a [-100/100 scale]) compared to Q1 2016.
The expectations of the private sector in Georgia improved and reached 46 index points (up from 38 points in Q1). Businesses’ performance over the past 3 months increased significantly and became positive, rising from -0.7 to 19.7, indicating a rise in production/turnover/sales. The performance of the past 3 months alongside improved expectations thus maintained overall the BCI at a stable, optimistic level and trend.
The significant improvement in the BCI was counter-cyclical. In the previous two years, performance in Q2 was the poorest of all four quarters, even reaching a historic minimum level in Q2 2015.
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Business Confidence Index: (No) business confidence
24
January
2025
For the first quarter of 2025, business confidence in Georgia decreased (by 8.8 index points) and reached -5.0. The highest decrease in business confidence is observed in the service (-21.5) sector. The negative change in BCI for Q1 2025 was driven by decreased past performance as well as pessimistic expectations.
Business Confidence Index: Pessimistic private sector
25
October
2024
For the fourth quarter of 2024, business confidence in Georgia decreased (by 9.7 index points) and reached 3.8. The highest decrease in business confidence is observed in the finance (-22.1) sector. The negative change in BCI for Q4 2024 was driven by decreased past performance as well as less optimistic expectations.
Business Confidence Index: Downturn in confidence continues
19
July
2024
For the third quarter of 2024, business confidence in Georgia decreased (by 2.8 index points) and reached 13.6. The highest decrease in business confidence is observed in the construction (-12.5) sector. The negative change in BCI for Q3 2024 was driven by less optimistic expectations.
Business Confidence Index: Downturn in confidence continues
30
April
2024
For the second quarter of 2024, business confidence in Georgia decreased slightly (by 1.3 index points) and reached 16.4. The highest decrease in business confidence is observed in the trade (-7.4) sector. The negative change in BCI for Q2 2024 was driven by decreased past performance as well as less optimistic expectations.
Business Confidence Index: Slight downturn in confidence
19
February
2024
For the first quarter of 2024, business confidence in Georgia decreased slightly (by 0.4 index points) and reached 17.7. The highest decrease in business confidence is observed in the trade (-15.1) sector. The negative change in BCI for Q1 2024 was driven by decreased past performance as well as less optimistic expectations.
