Indexes
May 2016 Macro Review | March brings positive dynamics in growth and consumer confidence
20
May
2016
According to Geostat’s rapid estimates, real GDP grew by 3.4% in March, while the growth rate for Q1 stood at 2.3% year over year. The estimated first quarter growth was 0.5 percentage points less than ISET-PI’s GDP forecast for the quarter. We have updated our forecast for Q2 based on the new information and lowered it from 5% to 4.2%; at the same time, the Q3 forecast was revised upward to 4.3%.
Different international and domestic financial institutions have slight variations in their forecasts for Georgia’s year-over-year real GDP growth rate in 2016. The ADB and IMF both reduced their forecasts by 0.5%, now predicting 2.5% annual growth. In contrast, EBRD revised its forecast upward to 3.4% (coinciding with the value predicted by the ISET-PI forecast model), while the World Bank annual forecast stood at 3%. The National Bank of Georgia predicted a 3% growth earlier in the year, and ISET-PI (in our “middle-of-the-road” scenario forecast) predicted a 3.4% real GDP increase in 2016.
Recent Publications
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Q2 2025 Macro Review | Services momentum, external resilience, and policy steadiness
06
October
2025
According to GeoStat’s preliminary estimates in the second quarter of 2025, Georgia’s nominal GDP reached GEL 25 347.0 million, with a year-over-year real GDP growth of 7.3% and a GDP deflator change of 4.8%. Per-capita GDP stood at GEL 6,842. The economic expansion was largely driven by strong growth in several key sectors.
Quarter 1, 2025 Macro Review | Sustained growth and stability in an uncertain global landscape
01
July
2025
According to GeoStat’s preliminary estimates in the first quarter of 2025, Georgia’s nominal GDP reached GEL 21,798.2 million, with a year-over-year real GDP growth of 9.8% and a GDP deflator change of 3.4%. The economic expansion was largely driven by strong growth in several key sectors. The most notable increases were observed in Education (+27.7%), Information and communication (+28.5%), Administrative and support service activities (29.7%), Human health and social work activities (17.9%).
Quarter 4, 2024 Macro Review | Georgia’s economic performance in Q4 2024: strong growth amidst stabilizing inflation and shifting external dynamics
28
February
2025
According to GeoStat’s preliminary estimates in the fourth quarter of 2024, Georgia’s nominal GDP reached GEL 25,309.6 million, with a year-over-year real GDP growth of 8.3% and a GDP deflator change of 4.0%. The economic expansion was largely driven by strong growth in several key sectors. The most notable increases were observed in Education (+36.2%), Information and communication (+29.7%), Human health and social work activities (23.6%), Mining and quarrying (22.5%).
Quarter 3, 2024 Macro Review | Economic progress under pressure: Georgia’s Q3 2024 growth and challenges
08
January
2025
According to GeoStat’s preliminary estimates in the second quarter of 2024, Georgia’s nominal GDP reached GEL 24,855.7 million, with a year-over-year real GDP growth of 11.0% and a GDP deflator change of 4.3%. The growth was driven by significant increases in value-added across various sectors: Education activities rose by 35.6%, Information and communication rose by 32.8%, Construction by 30.9%, Financial and insurance activities by 22.9%, Public administration and defense, including social security by 14.7% and Wholesale and retail trade, including repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles by 11%. Conversely, there was a decline in value-added in electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning supply by 13.6% and in Real estate activities by 4.9%.
Quarter 2, 2024 Macro Review | Strong gdp growth driven by key sectors amid global and domestic challenges
02
October
2024
According to GeoStat’s preliminary estimates in the second quarter of 2024, Georgia’s nominal GDP reached GEL 22,101.7 million, with a year-over-year real GDP growth of 9.6% and a GDP deflator change of 2.5%. The growth was driven by significant increases in value-added across various sectors: Accommodation and food service activities rose by 35.7%, Education by 21.3%, household activities as employers and producers of goods and services for personal use by 17.3%, Transportation and storage by 16.1%, Public administration and defense, including social security, by 13.3%, and Construction by 13%.
