Indexes
October 2016 Macro Review | Georgia’s growth expectations marred by concerns about negative spillovers from regional economies
20
October
2016
On 4 October 2016, the IMF’s flagship World Economic Outlook (WEO) publication updated its projections of the main global macroeconomic indicators. According to the WEO,
“Global growth is projected to slow to 3.1 percent in 2016 before recovering to 3.4 percent in 2017. The forecast, revised down by 0.1 percentage point for 2016 and 2017 relative to April, reflects a more subdued outlook for advanced economies following the June U.K. vote in favor of leaving the European Union (Brexit) and weaker-than-expected growth in the United States. These developments have put further downward pressure on global interest rates, as monetary policy is now expected to remain accommodative for longer”.
In contrast, Georgia’s real GDP growth forecast for 2016 was revised upward to 3.4% from the projected 2.5% in April. For Georgia’s neighboring countries, the IMF predictions were as follows: Turkey 3.3%, Armenia 3.2%, Azerbaijan -2.4%, and Russia -0.8%.
Recent Publications
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Q2 2025 Macro Review | Services momentum, external resilience, and policy steadiness
06
October
2025
According to GeoStat’s preliminary estimates in the second quarter of 2025, Georgia’s nominal GDP reached GEL 25 347.0 million, with a year-over-year real GDP growth of 7.3% and a GDP deflator change of 4.8%. Per-capita GDP stood at GEL 6,842. The economic expansion was largely driven by strong growth in several key sectors.
Quarter 1, 2025 Macro Review | Sustained growth and stability in an uncertain global landscape
01
July
2025
According to GeoStat’s preliminary estimates in the first quarter of 2025, Georgia’s nominal GDP reached GEL 21,798.2 million, with a year-over-year real GDP growth of 9.8% and a GDP deflator change of 3.4%. The economic expansion was largely driven by strong growth in several key sectors. The most notable increases were observed in Education (+27.7%), Information and communication (+28.5%), Administrative and support service activities (29.7%), Human health and social work activities (17.9%).
Quarter 4, 2024 Macro Review | Georgia’s economic performance in Q4 2024: strong growth amidst stabilizing inflation and shifting external dynamics
28
February
2025
According to GeoStat’s preliminary estimates in the fourth quarter of 2024, Georgia’s nominal GDP reached GEL 25,309.6 million, with a year-over-year real GDP growth of 8.3% and a GDP deflator change of 4.0%. The economic expansion was largely driven by strong growth in several key sectors. The most notable increases were observed in Education (+36.2%), Information and communication (+29.7%), Human health and social work activities (23.6%), Mining and quarrying (22.5%).
Quarter 3, 2024 Macro Review | Economic progress under pressure: Georgia’s Q3 2024 growth and challenges
08
January
2025
According to GeoStat’s preliminary estimates in the second quarter of 2024, Georgia’s nominal GDP reached GEL 24,855.7 million, with a year-over-year real GDP growth of 11.0% and a GDP deflator change of 4.3%. The growth was driven by significant increases in value-added across various sectors: Education activities rose by 35.6%, Information and communication rose by 32.8%, Construction by 30.9%, Financial and insurance activities by 22.9%, Public administration and defense, including social security by 14.7% and Wholesale and retail trade, including repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles by 11%. Conversely, there was a decline in value-added in electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning supply by 13.6% and in Real estate activities by 4.9%.
Quarter 2, 2024 Macro Review | Strong gdp growth driven by key sectors amid global and domestic challenges
02
October
2024
According to GeoStat’s preliminary estimates in the second quarter of 2024, Georgia’s nominal GDP reached GEL 22,101.7 million, with a year-over-year real GDP growth of 9.6% and a GDP deflator change of 2.5%. The growth was driven by significant increases in value-added across various sectors: Accommodation and food service activities rose by 35.7%, Education by 21.3%, household activities as employers and producers of goods and services for personal use by 17.3%, Transportation and storage by 16.1%, Public administration and defense, including social security, by 13.3%, and Construction by 13%.
