Indexes
Business Confidence Index: persistent pessimism!
04
February
2019
BCI in the first quarter of 2019 has worsened, dropping to 22.6 index points, which is a 7.4 index point loss over the previous quarter. The BCI drop is driven by worsening in the past performance and expectations in a number of the business sectors. Interestingly, companies in the construction industry assessed their past performance most pessimistically, however they display the most optimistic expectations. While the private sector expectations tend to worsen, they continue to remain positive.
The Past Performance Index, which reflects businesses' assessment of their own economic performance in the previous quarter, showed a downward trend, decreasing by 3.6 points in Q1 2019.
Business optimism about the overall economy decreased significantly, reaching 36.3 index points. Other than retail trade, service and agriculture have contributed the most to this decrease in business optimism. In the construction and financial sector, expectations have improved significantly.
The Sales Price Expectation Index decreased slightly. Businesses in the service sector predict the largest price reduction in the next quarter while the other sectors are expecting higher prices.
Expectations and past performance worsened for large businesses and improved for SMEs.
The main factor that continues to limit business activities is the lack of demand for both large and small and medium businesses.
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Business Confidence Index: Slight downturn in confidence
19
February
2024
For the first quarter of 2024, business confidence in Georgia decreased slightly (by 0.4 index points) and reached 17.7. The highest decrease in business confidence is observed in the trade (-15.1) sector. The negative change in BCI for Q1 2024 was driven by decreased past performance as well as less optimistic expectations.
Business Confidence Index: Back on track?
23
October
2023
For the fourth quarter of 2023, business confidence in Georgia increased (by 2.4 index points) and reached 18.1. The highest increase in business confidence is observed in the trade (+21.7) sector. The positive change in BCI for Q4 2023 was driven by improved past performance as well as more optimistic expectations.
Business Confidence Index: Turning point?
31
July
2023
For the third quarter of 2023, business confidence in Georgia decreased (by 10.7 index points) and reached 15.7. The highest business confidence is observed in the financial (26.4) sector. The negative change in BCI for Q3 2023 was driven by worsened past performance as well as less optimistic expectations.
Business Confidence Index: New year, new expectations
23
January
2023
For the first quarter of 2023, business confidence in Georgia increased (by 8.4 index points) and reached 20.1. The highest business confidence is observed in the financial (35.6) sector.
Business Confidence Index: summer edition
28
July
2022
For the third quarter of 2022, business confidence in Georgia increased (by 2.6 index points) and reached 17.7. The highest increase in business confidence is observed in the construction (+13.8) sector. The positive change in BCI for Q3 2022 was driven by significantly improved past performance.
