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October 24, 2016 Kh-Index | Khachapuri index follows global trends. Or not yet?
24 October 2016

In September 2016, the average price of cooking one Imeretian khachapuri stood at 3.43 GEL. Compared to the previous month (August 2016) the Khachapuri Index gained 8.6%. The upward trend in the Index at this time of the year is mostly related to the seasonal increase in the price of cheese (due to the dwindling supply of fresh milk).

Back to the Future: Will an Old Farming Practice Provide a Market Niche for Georgian Farmers?
22 October 2016

Back in ancient times, the moon was the center of everybody’s attention. People worshipped the moon and believed that it had mystical powers. Since then, the lunar effect on human mood and behavior has been an issue for psychological and astrological research. Surprisingly, many economic papers are also concerned about the influence of the lunar phases on stock returns.

October 15, 2016 FPI | Fall is a Time of Harvest
21 October 2016

In the second week of October, food prices kept going down: ISET’s Retail Food Price index lost 0.8% m/m (compared to the last week of September) and 15% y/y (compared to October 2015). The largest bi-weekly price changes were recorded for seasonal food products such as fresh fruit and vegetables. Prices moved down the most for coriander (-23%), onion (-8%), and cabbage (-6%).

October 2016 GDP Forecast | Expansionary monetary policy stimulates economic growth, while negative external shocks continue to impede economic activities
20 October 2016

Based on the latest data, we expect annual growth in 2016 to be 3.3%. This is just 0.1% below the recently released annual economic growth projections of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and 0.2% lower than the annual forecast of the National Bank of Georgia.

October 2016 Macro Review | Georgia’s growth expectations marred by concerns about negative spillovers from regional economies
20 October 2016

The IMF’s projection for real GDP growth in Georgia in 2017 was revised upward to 5.2% from the predicted 4.5% in April. This is the highest projected regional growth rate and is certainly very encouraging. Despite this, Georgia remains a small economy, where GDP growth has always been highly correlated to the economic performance of its large trading partners.

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