Indexes
April 2023 | Business and consumer confidence indicators diverge, reflecting uncertainty facing the Georgian economy
01
May
2023
ISET-PI has updated its real GDP growth forecast for the first and second quarters of 2023. Here are the highlights of this month’s release:
Geostat has released its rapid estimate of real GDP growth for February 2023. The estimated growth stands at 5.8%, while the average real GDP growth for January-February 2023 reached 7.1%.
ISET-PI predicted 2.9% and 1.8% growth for the first and second quarters of 2023 respectively.
Based on February data, the annual growth in 2023 is expected to be 2.2% in the worst-case scenario, and 3.2% in the best-case or average long-term growth scenario. Our middle-of-the-road scenario (based on the average growth in the last four quarters) predicts a 2.6% increase in real GDP.
These numbers are underestimated by the model at the current point in time. This is due to the fact that ongoing large-scale in-migration had not had relevant analogues in the Georgian data in the past.
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November 2025 | Trade Gains, rising dollarization, and firm domestic demand shape Georgia’s near-term growth
20
November
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on September’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 6.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025 and 5.2% in the first quarter of 2026. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.6%.
October 2025 | Georgia’s 2025 economic outlook: balancing strong domestic growth with external headwinds
20
October
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on August’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
September 2025 | September 2025 outlook: Georgia’s GDP growth anchored by domestic demand and monetary caution
22
September
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on July’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
August 2025 | Georgia’s 2025 outlook: solid growth, tight policy, and global uncertainty
20
August
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on June’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the forth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
July 2025 | Economic growth forecast strong at 7.1% in 2025: Georgia faces inflation pressures and external volatility
20
July
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on May’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 8.2% in the second quarter and 6.5% in the third quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 6% in the worst-case scenario and 7.6% in the best-case or an average long-term growth scenario.
