Indexes
July 2024 | Strong growth forecast persists despite May 2024 trade decline, remittance drop, and lari depreciation
22
July
2024
ISET-PI has updated its real GDP growth forecast for the second and third quarters of 2024. Here are the highlights of this month’s release:
Geostat has published its preliminary estimate of real GDP growth for May 2024, which stands at 9.2%. In addition, the estimated growth for the first quarter of 2024 reached 8.4%, which is 0.6 ppt higher than the previous estimate. As a result, the average real GDP growth for January - May 2024 reached 9.3%.
ISET-PI forecasts Georgia's economy to grow by 10.3% in the second quarter and 8.4% in the third quarter of 2024.
According to May data, the annual growth in 2024 is projected to be 8.3% in the worst-case scenario and 10% in the best-case or average long-term growth scenario. Our median scenario, reflecting the average growth from the past four quarters, forecasts a 9.5% increase in real GDP. The model most likely overestimated these numbers at the current point in time.
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June 2024 | Resilient GDP growth forecast despite trade and remittance challenges in April
24
June
2024
Geostat has published its preliminary estimate of real GDP growth for April 2024, which stands at 11.8%. In addition, the estimated growth for the first quarter of 2024 reached 7.8%.
May 2024 | Economic growth stays strong despite risks: export/import drops, remittance challenges, and low inflation
24
May
2024
Geostat has published its preliminary estimate of real GDP growth for March 2024, which stands at 8.2%. In addition, the estimated growth for the first quarter of 2024 reached 7.8%.
April 2024 | National and foreign currency deposits, merchandise trade, and remittances: key drivers of Georgia's April 2024 GDP forecast
25
April
2024
Due to a recent update in Geostat's GDP calculation methodology in December, revised growth rates show an upward trend compared to the previous month's figures. Consequently, our forecast for GDP growth has been adjusted upwards to reflect this change.
March 2024 | Growth surge or temporary blip? ISET-PI unveils key factors shaping Georgia's economy
25
March
2024
Geostat has released its rapid estimate of real GDP growth for January 2024. The estimated growth stands at 5.8%, while the estimated growth of 2023 reached 7.5%.
February 2024 | Currency gains, trade contraction, and remittance normalization: key drivers of Georgia's revised 2024 GDP forecast
26
February
2024
Geostat has released its rapid estimate of real GDP growth for December 2023. The estimated growth stands at 8.3%, while the average annual real GDP growth reached 7%.
