Indexes
January 2016 GDP Forecast | Sharp drop in short-term consumer credit lowers growth forecast
26
January
2016
ISET-PI has updated its forecast for Georgia’s real GDP growth rates using the November 2015 releases of various economic indicators.
- We have recently updated the GDP series (the dependent variable in our model), using the revised GDP growth rates available from Geostat.
- Based on the November data, the forecast for GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2015 now stands at 3.4%. This is 0.1 percentage points lower than in the previous vintage of the forecast.
- Annual growth for 2015 is still expected to be 2.9%.
- According to the second vintage of the forecast for 2016, the growth rate in the first quarter is predicted to be 3.5%. Once again, this is 0.1 percentage points below our previous prediction.
Recent Publications
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November 2025 | Trade Gains, rising dollarization, and firm domestic demand shape Georgia’s near-term growth
20
November
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on September’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 6.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025 and 5.2% in the first quarter of 2026. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.6%.
October 2025 | Georgia’s 2025 economic outlook: balancing strong domestic growth with external headwinds
20
October
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on August’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
September 2025 | September 2025 outlook: Georgia’s GDP growth anchored by domestic demand and monetary caution
22
September
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on July’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
August 2025 | Georgia’s 2025 outlook: solid growth, tight policy, and global uncertainty
20
August
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on June’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the forth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
July 2025 | Economic growth forecast strong at 7.1% in 2025: Georgia faces inflation pressures and external volatility
20
July
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on May’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 8.2% in the second quarter and 6.5% in the third quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 6% in the worst-case scenario and 7.6% in the best-case or an average long-term growth scenario.
