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Business Confidence Index
ISET Policy Institute, working in partnership with BIA (Business Information Agency) and International Chamber of Commerce in Georgia (ICC), started to implement the Business Confidence Survey from December 2013 and will publish the Business Confidence Index (BCI) on quarterly bases. Business confid
ence for Georgia is measured by seven sector-specific indices focusing on services, retail trade, agriculture, manufacturing industry, financial service, construction and other sectors. For each sector, confidence is measured through a simple survey instrument targeted at top business executives.
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Business Confidence Index: BCI is at all time low, and points to growing pessimism among entrepreneurs – Q2 2015
15 April 2015

After being steadily optimistic for most of 2014 and in the first quarter of 2015, Georgia’s business confidence dropped by 24.5 points to an all-time low level of 3.6 on a scale of [-100; 100] points. The survey, which included 168 firms, suggests that business confidence declined on all measures, across all sectors, and for all firm sizes. Moreover, it is reflected in business perceptions concerning both current performance and expectations concerning the future.

Shaken by weak consumer demand – Q1 2015
15 January 2015

The Business Confidence Index decreased slightly and registered 24.5 points in Q1 (previous quarter BCI was 24.9). Decrease in the retail sector business confidence is marginally the highest. This is driven by a sizeable drop in Consumer Confidence. Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) fell sharply since November 2014. The sales price expectations turned from negative to positive in the first quarter of 2015. Insufficient demand remains the most limiting factor for doing business in Georgia.

BCI declines on large companies' worries. SME confidence grows – Q4 2014
15 October 2014

In the fourth quarter of 2014, the Business Confidence Index decreased and registered 24.9 on a scale of 100 points. This is down from the 40.4 recorded in the third quarter of the same year. The positive number indicates that the confidence factor among businesses is about 25 index points more positive than negative or neutral (e.g. a confidence index of 100 would have indicated that all firms in the sample reported a positive outlook.

Business Confidence Index – Q3 2014
04 August 2014

Key findings The Business Confidence Index (BCI) improves and reaches 40.4 index points. The seasonal factor has been driving a positive outlook. Most firms are optimistic about the next three months. The sales price expectations are outstandingly increased for the retail trade sector.

Business Confidence Index – Q2 2014
23 April 2014

In the second quarter of this year, the ISET Business Confidence Index registered 21.7 on a scale of 100 points (see methodology below). This is down from the 30.2 recorded in the first quarter of the same year. The positive number nevertheless indicates that the confidence factor among businesses is about 21.7 more positive, rather than negative or neutral (e.g. a confidence index of 100 would have indicated that all firms in the sample reported a positive outlook.

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