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ISET Economist Blog

A blog about economics in the South Caucasus.
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Author
  • Guenther Baechler
  • Veriko Shengelia
  • Giorgi Bakradze
  • Khatia Tsaava
  • Goga Sukhashvili
  • Irakli Jgharkava
  • Shota Katamadze
  • Mariam Gogotchuri
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  • Irakli Jintcharadze
  • Lasha Khutsishvili
  • Mery Julakidze
  • Givi Melkadze
  • Giorgi Machavariani
  • Andrei Sarychev
  • Giorgi Mekerishvili
  • Nino Abashidze
  • Aleqsandre Bluashvili
  • Rezo Geradze
  • Giorgi Bregadze
  • Aram Derdzyan
  • Astghik Mkhitaryan
  • Giorgi Kelbakiani
  • Giorgi Tsutskiridze
  • George Basheli
  • Ia Vardishvili
  • Robizon Khubulashvili
  • Tom Coupe
  • Adam Pellillo
  • Lasha Arevadze
  • Saba Devdariani
  • Nino Mosiashvili
  • Nikoloz Pkhakadze
  • Jan Klingelhofer
  • Martin Smith
  • Medea Davlasheridze
  • Tamari Giorgadze
  • Aram Grigoryan
  • Charles Johnson
  • Levan Bzhalava
  • Maya Grigolia
  • Izat Berenaliev
  • Lasha Lanchava
  • Nino Zambakhidze
  • Nino Doghonadze
  • Simon Appleby
  • Rafael Castro
  • Givi Kupatadze
  • Ruediger Heining
  • Mariam Zaldastanishvili
  • Zurab Abramishvili
  • Salome Goglichidze
  • Gigla Mikautadze
  • Hans Gutbrod
  • Kalman Mizsei
  • Ivane Pirveli
  • Irakli Galdava
  • Victor Kipiani
  • Florian Biermann
  • Irakli Shalikashvili
  • Olga Azhgibetseva
  • Phatima Mamardashvili
  • Eric Livny
  • Aleksandra Markovic
  • David Zhorzholiani
  • Nino Kakulia
  • Matsatso Tepnadze
  • Laura Manukyan
  • Irakli Barbakadze
  • Lika Goderdzishvili
  • Selam Petersson
  • Sophiko Skhirtladze
  • Irakli Kochlamazashvili
  • Levan Pavlenishvili
  • Jemal Tsintsabadze
  • Nika Molashvili
  • Gocha Kardava
  • Rati Porchkhidze
  • Mariam Galdava
  • Lasha Labadze
  • Guranda Darchidze
  • Muhammad Asali
  • Karine Torosyan
  • Levan Tevdoradze
  • Mariam Katsadze
  • Ana Burduli
  • Davit Keshelava
  • Elene Seturidze
  • Mariam Tsulukidze
  • Erekle Shubitidze
  • Guram Lobzhanidze
  • Mariam Lobjanidze
  • Mariam Chachava
  • Maka Chitanava
  • Salome Deisadze
  • Ia Katsia
  • Salome Gelashvili
  • Tamar Sulukhia
  • Norberto Pignatti
  • Giorgi Papava
  • Luc Leruth
  • Yaroslava Babych
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Right or Left: What Are Political Parties’ Economic Visions?
Davit Keshelava of MPRC commented on the wealth report of Credit Suisse with the Business Contract programme of Maestro TV. The report noted that the UK’s household wealth has been reduced by $1.5tn post Brexit. In addition, the number of people in the UK who have $1m or more has reduced by around 15%.Davit pointed out that such a significant reduction of household wealth can be considered as the cost of Brexit. Since the results of the referendum were publicly known, the British pound depreciated by 16% relative to the US dollar and 10% relative to the euro. He added that the detailed institutional and legislative aspects of Brexit are not known to society, yet this creates further uncertainty for economic agents and do not allow markets to increase accordingly. In addition, he overviewed new opportunities for Georgia to benefit from this fact (especially tourism potential). Watch the video from Maestro TV to learn more.
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Regional Impacts of COVID-19 Shock to HORECA Sector
On November 21, Prof. Dr. Stephan von Cramon-Taubadel gave a presentation of a working paper entitled “Trade Costs for Heterogeneous Agricultural Products” at ISET. The professor himself and Mr. Yi Qu are the co-others of the paper, which aims to evaluate trade costs for 125 different agricultural products based on 1992-2011 data from 156 different countries. Geographic characteristics (island or mainland, number of neighboring countries, etc.), transportation (the distance products cover domestically or internationally), tariffs (on exports and imports), institutions and the history of the country, as well as demographic characteristics (the religion of the majority of the population in a particular trading partner, common language, etc.) serve a role of explanatory variables in the analyses.
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Sabina and Rahul, Welcome to Georgia!
ISET-PI has updated its forecast for Georgia’s real GDP growth rate for the first two quarters of 2016. Here are the highlights of this month’s releases: • ISET-PI’s forecast for the first two quarters of 2016 has not changed from the previous prediction and stands at 2.9% and 5.0% respectively. • We started forecasting the annual growth rate at the start of 2014 (see our January 2014 and February 2014 publications for a note on methodology). Based on this month’s data, we expect annual growth in 2016 to be 2.0% in the worst-case or “no growth” scenario, and 4.5% in the best-case or “average long-term growth” scenario. Our “middle-of-the-road” scenario (based on the average growth in the last four quarters) predicts a 3.3% real GDP increase in 2016. Download the full report
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Since When Do Georgians Trust Banks More Than Friends?
How significant is welfare loss in the presence of cartels? How best to fight against cartels to avoid them ex-ante? These were the leading questions of the presentation of Dr. Andrea Mantovani (University of Bologna) at ISET on February 20, 2014. The presentation was based on the article The fight against cartels: a transatlantic perspective by Dr. Mantovani, Emilie Dargaud (University of Lyon) and Carlo Reggiani (University of Manchester). Dr. Andrea Mantovani began his talk by explaining the significance of the questions posed above.
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