Indexes
October 2019 GDP Forecast | August data keeps growth forecast steady, but downward correction looms
21
October
2019
ISET-PI has updated its forecast of Georgia’s real GDP growth rate for the third and fourth quarters of 2019. The highlights of this month’s release are as follows:
ISET-PI’s forecast of real GDP growth for the third quarter (July-September) of 2019 remains at 7.1%, unchanged from last month’s prediction. While the third estimate for the fourth quarter (October-December) growth forecast stands at 5.5%.
Geostat recently published its preliminary estimate of real GDP growth for August, which currently stands at 5.8%. As a result, the real GDP growth estimate for the first eight months of 2019 was reduced to 5%.
Based on the data from August, annual growth in 2019 is expected to be 5.5%. Although the growth forecast remains stable, we expect a downward correction of annual GDP growth towards the end of the year because we have not fully taken into consideration impeded tourist inflows, deteriorated foreign direct investments, and the increased risk of negative external shocks.
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November 2025 | Trade Gains, rising dollarization, and firm domestic demand shape Georgia’s near-term growth
20
November
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on September’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 6.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025 and 5.2% in the first quarter of 2026. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.6%.
October 2025 | Georgia’s 2025 economic outlook: balancing strong domestic growth with external headwinds
20
October
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on August’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
September 2025 | September 2025 outlook: Georgia’s GDP growth anchored by domestic demand and monetary caution
22
September
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on July’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
August 2025 | Georgia’s 2025 outlook: solid growth, tight policy, and global uncertainty
20
August
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on June’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the forth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
July 2025 | Economic growth forecast strong at 7.1% in 2025: Georgia faces inflation pressures and external volatility
20
July
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on May’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 8.2% in the second quarter and 6.5% in the third quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 6% in the worst-case scenario and 7.6% in the best-case or an average long-term growth scenario.
