Indexes
January 2015 GDP Forecast | High hopes for robust growth continue despite a difficult November
08
January
2015
ISET-PI has updated its forecasts for Georgia’s real GDP growth rates using the November 2014 releases of various economic indicators.
Based on the November data, the growth forecast for the last quarter of 2014 was revised upward from 3.6% to 3.9%.
The second forecast for the first quarter of 2015 increased from the initial 3.2% to 3.7%.
For the first time since June 2013, Geostat’s “rapid estimate” of monthly growth is negative, with GDP growth for November estimated at -0.5%.
We started drawing conclusions about the annual growth rate for 2014 at the beginning of the year. Using official Geostat quarterly growth estimates (when available), we arrive at a 5.4% GDP growth forecast for 2014. If we instead use the predictions generated by our model, namely the 5th vintages of growth forecasts for each quarter, then the annual growth prediction for 2014 falls to 5.1%. At the same time, the Georgian government’s official forecast is 5% economic growth for 2014.
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November 2025 | Trade Gains, rising dollarization, and firm domestic demand shape Georgia’s near-term growth
20
November
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on September’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 6.7% in the fourth quarter of 2025 and 5.2% in the first quarter of 2026. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.6%.
October 2025 | Georgia’s 2025 economic outlook: balancing strong domestic growth with external headwinds
20
October
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on August’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
September 2025 | September 2025 outlook: Georgia’s GDP growth anchored by domestic demand and monetary caution
22
September
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on July’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
August 2025 | Georgia’s 2025 outlook: solid growth, tight policy, and global uncertainty
20
August
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on June’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 5.8% in the third quarter and 6.3% in the forth quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 7.3%.
July 2025 | Economic growth forecast strong at 7.1% in 2025: Georgia faces inflation pressures and external volatility
20
July
2025
According to the ISET Policy Institute's latest projections, based on May’s data, Georgia's economy is expected to grow by 8.2% in the second quarter and 6.5% in the third quarter of 2025. The annual growth in 2025 is expected to be 6% in the worst-case scenario and 7.6% in the best-case or an average long-term growth scenario.
